Zeno Divergent

Proof · past record as of 21 Oct 2026

Where Zeno earns trust.

Historical tests, separated by field, skill and research package.

Check a forecast
fields
24
scored past forecasts
3.7M
ranked forecasters
1,474

three skills

Field by field.

  • Weather vs airports

    Corrects forecastsv0.80.2 beta
    Proven
    Spots a forecaster about to be wrongv0.82 tree experiment
    Promising
    Spots the whole panel about to be wrongnot measured
    Not yet
    Evidence

    historical: two sealed test periods; warning: historical: development and later confirmation slices of past data.

    Corpus inventory: 22,187 labelled forecasts · 5 forecasters. Not the evaluation sample.

    Evaluation interval: not measured here. Airport outcome timing is assumed; inspected-period re-checks are retrospective.

    Beta package and verdict

  • Energy demand

    Corrects forecastsv0.80.2 beta
    Proven
    Spots a forecaster about to be wrongv0.82 tree experiment
    Not yet
    Spots the whole panel about to be wrongnot measured
    Not yet
    Evidence

    historical: two sealed test periods; warning: historical: development and later confirmation slices of past data.

    Corpus inventory: 2,667 labelled forecasts · 1 forecaster. Not the evaluation sample.

    Evaluation interval: not measured here. Single-forecaster field; no evidence of consensus dependence.

    Beta package and verdict

  • Weather vs analysis

    Corrects forecastsv0.80.2 beta
    Not yet
    Spots a forecaster about to be wrongv0.82 tree experiment
    Promising
    Spots the whole panel about to be wrongnot measured
    Not yet
    Evidence

    historical: two sealed test periods; warning: historical: development and later confirmation slices of past data.

    Corpus inventory: 48,708 labelled forecasts · 6 forecasters. Not the evaluation sample.

    Evaluation interval: not measured here.

    Beta package and verdict

  • Sea

    Corrects forecastsv0.80.2 beta
    Not yet
    Spots a forecaster about to be wrongv0.82 tree experiment
    Promising
    Spots the whole panel about to be wrongnot measured
    Not yet
    Evidence

    historical: two sealed test periods; warning: historical: development and later confirmation slices of past data.

    Corpus inventory: 12,096 labelled forecasts · 24 forecasters. Not the evaluation sample.

    Evaluation interval: not measured here.

    Beta package and verdict

  • Crypto

    Corrects forecastsv0.80.2 beta
    Not yet
    Spots a forecaster about to be wrongv0.82 tree experiment
    Promising
    Spots the whole panel about to be wrongnot measured
    Not yet
    Evidence

    historical: two sealed test periods; warning: historical: development and later confirmation slices of past data.

    Corpus inventory: 83,504 labelled forecasts · 3 forecasters. Not the evaluation sample.

    Evaluation interval: not measured here.

    Beta package and verdict

  • COVID-19

    Corrects forecastsv0.80.2 beta
    Not yet
    Spots a forecaster about to be wrongv0.82 tree experiment
    Promising
    Spots the whole panel about to be wrongnot measured
    Not yet
    Evidence

    historical: two sealed test periods; warning: historical: development and later confirmation slices of past data.

    Corpus inventory: 6,365 labelled forecasts · 16 forecasters. Not the evaluation sample.

    Evaluation interval: not measured here.

    Beta package and verdict

  • RSV

    Corrects forecastsv0.80.2 beta
    Not yet
    Spots a forecaster about to be wrongv0.82 tree experiment
    Promising
    Spots the whole panel about to be wrongnot measured
    Not yet
    Evidence

    historical: two sealed test periods; warning: historical: development and later confirmation slices of past data.

    Corpus inventory: 2,891 labelled forecasts · 6 forecasters. Not the evaluation sample.

    Evaluation interval: not measured here.

    Beta package and verdict

  • Philadelphia Fed (points)

    Corrects forecastsv0.80.2 beta
    Not yet
    Spots a forecaster about to be wrongv0.82 tree experiment
    Promising
    Spots the whole panel about to be wrongnot measured
    Not yet
    Evidence

    historical: two sealed test periods; warning: historical: development and later confirmation slices of past data.

    Corpus inventory: 4,190 labelled forecasts · 197 forecasters. Not the evaluation sample.

    Evaluation interval: not measured here.

    Beta package and verdict

  • ECB

    Corrects forecastsv0.80.2 beta
    Not yet
    Spots a forecaster about to be wrongv0.82 tree experiment
    Promising
    Spots the whole panel about to be wrongnot measured
    Not yet
    Evidence

    historical: two sealed test periods; warning: historical: development and later confirmation slices of past data.

    Corpus inventory: 1,098 labelled forecasts · 116 forecasters. Not the evaluation sample.

    Evaluation interval: not measured here.

    Beta package and verdict

  • ForecastBench

    Corrects forecastsv0.80.2 beta
    Not yet
    Spots a forecaster about to be wrongv0.82 tree experiment
    Promising
    Spots the whole panel about to be wrongnot measured
    Not yet
    Evidence

    historical: two sealed test periods; warning: historical: development and later confirmation slices of past data.

    Corpus inventory: 108,699 labelled forecasts · 806 forecasters. Not the evaluation sample.

    Evaluation interval: not measured here.

    Beta package and verdict

  • Sea-level pressure

    Corrects forecastsv0.80.2 beta
    Not yet
    Spots a forecaster about to be wrongv0.82 tree experiment
    Not yet
    Spots the whole panel about to be wrongnot measured
    Not yet

  • Wind

    Corrects forecastsv0.80.2 beta
    Not yet
    Spots a forecaster about to be wrongv0.82 tree experiment
    Not yet
    Spots the whole panel about to be wrongnot measured
    Not yet

  • Urban heat

    Corrects forecastsv0.80.2 beta
    Not yet
    Spots a forecaster about to be wrongv0.82 tree experiment
    Not yet
    Spots the whole panel about to be wrongnot measured
    Not yet

  • Single-run weather

    Corrects forecastsv0.80.2 beta
    Not yet
    Spots a forecaster about to be wrongv0.82 tree experiment
    Not yet
    Spots the whole panel about to be wrongnot measured
    Not yet

  • Air quality

    Corrects forecastsv0.80.2 beta
    Not yet
    Spots a forecaster about to be wrongv0.82 tree experiment
    Not yet
    Spots the whole panel about to be wrongnot measured
    Not yet

  • Farming rain

    Corrects forecastsv0.80.2 beta
    Not yet
    Spots a forecaster about to be wrongv0.82 tree experiment
    Not yet
    Spots the whole panel about to be wrongnot measured
    Not yet

  • Ensemble weather

    Corrects forecastsv0.80.2 beta
    Not yet
    Spots a forecaster about to be wrongv0.82 tree experiment
    Not yet
    Spots the whole panel about to be wrongnot measured
    Not yet

  • Space weather

    Corrects forecastsv0.80.2 beta
    Not yet
    Spots a forecaster about to be wrongv0.82 tree experiment
    Not yet
    Spots the whole panel about to be wrongnot measured
    Not yet

  • Prediction markets

    Corrects forecastsv0.80.2 beta
    Not yet
    Spots a forecaster about to be wrongv0.82 tree experiment
    Not yet
    Spots the whole panel about to be wrongnot measured
    Not yet

  • Market traders

    Corrects forecastsv0.80.2 beta
    Not yet
    Spots a forecaster about to be wrongv0.82 tree experiment
    Not yet
    Spots the whole panel about to be wrongnot measured
    Not yet

  • Cross-venue markets

    Corrects forecastsv0.80.2 beta
    Not yet
    Spots a forecaster about to be wrongv0.82 tree experiment
    Not yet
    Spots the whole panel about to be wrongnot measured
    Not yet

  • Flu

    Corrects forecastsv0.80.2 beta
    Not yet
    Spots a forecaster about to be wrongv0.82 tree experiment
    Not yet
    Spots the whole panel about to be wrongnot measured
    Not yet

  • Philadelphia Fed (ranges)

    Corrects forecastsv0.80.2 beta
    Not yet
    Spots a forecaster about to be wrongv0.82 tree experiment
    Not yet
    Spots the whole panel about to be wrongnot measured
    Not yet

  • Numinous

    Corrects forecastsv0.80.2 beta
    Not yet
    Spots a forecaster about to be wrongv0.82 tree experiment
    Not yet
    Spots the whole panel about to be wrongnot measured
    Not yet

Historical research, not a live guarantee. Correction: v0.80.2 beta versus its calibrated reference. Forecaster warning: v0.82 boosted-tree experiment, not the neural run. Passing one skill does not validate the others.

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