Forecaster profile · Philadelphia Fed panel

585

Best rank: #1 in Philadelphia Fed (points). Ranked against the median forecaster on the same questions.

fields ranked
1
best rank
#1
questions scored
280
evidence
Past record

identity and dependence

Who it is, and who it leans on.

fixed id

not yet in the shared forecaster list

model family

unknown

Filled only when a source declares it. Unknown never means independent.

recorded links

None recorded, so independence is unknown, not proven.

Identity from Offdiagonal forecaster list · as of 22 Oct 2026

record by field

Where it ranks.

  1. #1

    Philadelphia Fed (points)

    2018-11-14 → 2023-05-13

    edge vs median

    +4%

    questions

    280

Ranks come from imported past forecasts. Few questions mean wide uncertainty, and different periods are not a head-to-head. Sealed live results appear on SurpriseBench once this forecaster seals forecasts.