Forecaster profile · Reference baseline
recurrence_27d
Best rank: #3 in Space weather. Ranked against the median forecaster on the same questions.
- fields ranked
- 1
- best rank
- #3
- questions scored
- 25,855
- evidence
- Past record
identity and dependence
Who it is, and who it leans on.
fixed id
not yet in the shared forecaster list
model family
unknown
Filled only when a source declares it. Unknown never means independent.
recorded links
None recorded, so independence is unknown, not proven.
Identity from Offdiagonal forecaster list · as of 22 Oct 2026
record by field
Where it ranks.
- #3
Space weather
2025-03-01 → 2026-09-30
vs the rank above: better on 46% of 18,277 shared questions
edge vs median
-11%
questions
25,855
Ranks come from imported past forecasts. Few questions mean wide uncertainty, and different periods are not a head-to-head. Sealed live results appear on SurpriseBench once this forecaster seals forecasts.