Forecaster profile · UK Met Office

ukmo_global_ensemble_20km

Best rank: #3 in Weather vs analysis. Ranked against the median forecaster on the same questions.

fields ranked
2
best rank
#3
questions scored
70,768
evidence
Past record

identity and dependence

Who it is, and who it leans on.

fixed id

not yet in the shared forecaster list

model family

unknown

Filled only when a source declares it. Unknown never means independent.

recorded links

None recorded, so independence is unknown, not proven.

Identity from Offdiagonal forecaster list · as of 22 Oct 2026

record by field

Where it ranks.

  1. #3

    Weather vs analysis

    2026-09-12 → 2026-10-18

    vs the rank above: better on 51% of 48,605 shared questions

    edge vs median

    -30%

    questions

    48,606

  2. #3

    Weather vs airports

    2026-09-12 → 2026-10-18

    vs the rank above: better on 55% of 22,162 shared questions

    edge vs median

    -13%

    questions

    22,162

Ranks come from imported past forecasts. Few questions mean wide uncertainty, and different periods are not a head-to-head. Sealed live results appear on SurpriseBench once this forecaster seals forecasts.